The current study used longitudinal panel data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 (NLSY79; n = 7,064) and National Longitudinal Survey of Young Adults (NLSY-YA; n = 2,985) to examine whether political party affiliation was related to residential mobility between rural regions, urban regions, and major cities in the United States. Over a follow-up of 4–6 years, stronger Republican affiliation was associated with lower probability of moving from rural regions to major cities (relative risk [RR] = 0.71, confidence interval [CI] = [0.54, 0.93]) and higher probability of moving away from major cities to urban or rural regions (RR = 1.17, CI = [1.03, 1.33]). The empirical correlation between party affiliation and urban–rural residence was r = −0.15 [−0.17, −0.13]. Simulated data based on the regression models produced a correlation of r = −0.06 [−0.10, −0.03], suggesting that selective residential mobility could account almost half of the empirically observed association between party affiliation and urban–rural residence.

当前的研究使用了1979年全国青年纵向调查（NLSY79；n = 7,064）和全国青年成年人纵向调查（NLSY-YA；n = 2,985）的纵向面板数据，以检验政党归属是否与居民之间的流动性有关。美国的农村地区，城市地区和主要城市。在4到6年的随访中，共和党人从属关系的增强与从农村地区迁往主要城市的可能性降低相关（相对风险[RR] = 0.71，置信区间[CI] = [0.54，0.93]）和更高从主要城市迁移到城市或农村地区的可能性（RR = 1.17，CI = [1.03，1.33]）。党籍和城乡居住地之间的经验关系式为[R= -0.15 [-0.17，-0.13]。基于回归模型的模拟数据得出r = -0.06 [-0.10，-0.03]的相关性，这表明选择性的居民流动性几乎可以占到从政关系与城乡居民之间的实证观察关系的一半。