Previous studies investigate whether levels of welfare benefits reduce crime among the unemployed. The current paper expands this literature by testing whether the intensity of other welfare programs aimed at the unemployed affects their criminal activity. For this purpose, the study uses evidence from a Danish social experiment that randomly assigned active labour market programs (ALMPs) of different intensity to newly unemployed individuals (N = 4.710, 41.7 per cent women). Using a negative binomial model, I find that the experiment significantly reduced the number of criminal convictions from 61 in the control group to 43 among the treated. While this 40 per cent decrease reflects a numerically small effect, the results still indicate that the intensity of ALMPs affects criminal behaviour among the unemployed.

中文翻译：

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失业和犯罪：强化 ALMP 对失业个人犯罪率的因果影响的实验证据

以前的研究调查了福利水平是否会降低失业者的犯罪率。目前的论文通过测试其他针对失业者的福利计划的强度是否会影响他们的犯罪活动来扩展这一文献。为此，该研究使用了来自丹麦社会实验的证据，该实验将不同强度的积极劳动力市场计划 (ALMP) 随机分配给新失业的个人（N = 4.710，41.7% 的女性）。使用负二项式模型，我发现该实验将刑事定罪的数量从对照组的 61 人显着减少到治疗组的 43 人。虽然这 40% 的下降反映了数字上较小的影响，但结果仍然表明 ALMP 的强度会影响失业者的犯罪行为。