This study provides a preliminary assessment of the impact of the pandemic on labor market conditions in Nevada. The analysis applies a locally weighted regression method (Lowess curve fitting) to time‐series data on weekly initial and continuing unemployment claims. Other measures of labor market outcomes are also included in the analysis. The findings suggest that while baseline conditions were relatively stable, the pandemic has generated an increase in unemployment in Nevada, and a steep rise in the number of unemployed workers covered by unemployment insurance. However, the largest growth in initial weekly unemployment claims may have already occurred. In addition, given the weight of leisure and hospitality in overall nonfarm employment, workers in that sector have been at elevated risk for unemployment. It is also possible that Latino and Asian workers will experience higher levels of unemployment. Finally, the study suggests that a history of inadequate financing has undermined the administrative capacity of the state's unemployment agency, with attendant consequences for its ability to process new claims. Likewise, the volume of continuing claims raises questions about the financial solvency of Nevada's unemployment insurance trust fund.

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COVID-19大流行对内华达州劳动力市场状况的影响：初步评估

这项研究对内华达州大流行对劳动力市场状况的影响提供了初步评估。该分析将局部加权回归方法（Lowess曲线拟合）应用于每周初次和连续失业索赔的时间序列数据。分析中还包括劳动力市场成果的其他度量。调查结果表明，尽管基线情况相对稳定，但内华达州的大流行导致失业人数增加，失业保险所涵盖的失业工人人数急剧增加。但是，最初的每周失业金申请增长幅度最大。此外，考虑到休闲和好客在整个非农就业中的重要性，该部门的工人失业风险较高。拉丁美洲和亚洲工人也可能会经历更高水平的失业。最后，该研究表明，融资不足的历史破坏了该州失业机构的行政管理能力，并对其处理新索赔的能力产生了相应的影响。同样，连续索赔的数量也引起了有关内华达州失业保险信托基金财务偿付能力的质疑。