PurposeTo examine individual perceptions of the consequences of crime, the role of criminogenic models, and whether rational choice and criminal social capital are informative of desistance during emerging adulthood.MethodsData from the Incarcerated Serious and Violent Young Offender Study were used to examine the relationship between different aspects of rational choice theories of desistance, criminogenic environment, and offending trajectories measured between ages 12 and 30, calculated using semi-parametric group-based modeling. Offending trajectories were then modeled using multinomial logistic regression.ResultsTrajectory analyses identified three desistance trajectories and three non-desistance trajectories. The strongest predictors of desistance trajectories included variables that relate to rational choices that considered the consequences of crime.ConclusionsRational choice and life course perspectives on desistance as complementary, with sources of informal social control operating in a manner that, along with other factors, helps structure an individual’s consideration of, and importance placed on, the consequences of crime.

中文翻译：

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信号抗性？犯罪态度，惩罚观念和犯罪模型暴露

目的研究个人对犯罪后果的认识，犯罪模型的作用以及理性选择和犯罪社会资本是否可以为成年后的戒断提供信息。方法：使用重刑和暴力少年监禁研究中的数据来研究不同犯罪之间的关系。使用半参数基于组的模型计算得出的停摆，犯罪环境和犯罪轨迹的理性选择理论的各个方面。然后使用多项式Lo​​gistic回归对违规轨迹进行建模。结果轨迹分析确定了3个停顿轨迹和3个非停顿轨迹。