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Does Financial Development Moderate the Effects on Growth Volatility? The Experience of Malaysia
Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research ( IF 0.7 ) Pub Date : 2020-11-01 , DOI: 10.1177/0973801020953400
Chor Foon Tang 1 , Salah Abosedra 2
Affiliation  

This article examines whether financial development can moderate the effects of growth volatility in the Malaysian economy. Using annual data from 1972 to 2018, we noted the existence of a strong link between growth volatility and financial development over the long-run. The findings also indicate that financial development alleviates the incidence of growth volatility over the long-run. Our basic estimated model shows further that trade openness has a significant positive impact on growth volatility, while inflation volatility, inward FDI and financial development have a significant negative impact on growth volatility in Malaysia. This model is extended to count the moderating effects of financial development on the impact of inflation volatility, trade openness and FDI on growth volatility in Malaysia. The results show that financial development not only has a direct impact on growth volatility but it also moderates the impacts of inflation volatility, trade openness and FDI on growth volatility. Therefore, our results extend established findings on the finance-growth volatility nexus for the Malaysian economy. More importantly, it shows additional possible benefits from financial development for growth stability. Furthermore, we note that ignoring such benefits may have contributed to the conflicting empirical results reported in the finance-growth volatility literature. We offer some specific policy implications based on such empirical results that are beneficial to the Malaysian economy and other countries in the region.

JEL Classification: C32, E32, O16



中文翻译:

金融发展是否会缓和对增长波动的影响?马来西亚的经验

本文探讨了金融发展是否可以缓解马来西亚经济增长波动的影响。使用1972年至2018年的年度数据,我们注意到长期而言,增长波动性与金融发展之间存在紧密的联系。研究结果还表明,从长远来看,金融发展减轻了增长波动的发生。我们的基本估计模型进一步表明,贸易开放度对增长波动具有显着的积极影响,而通货膨胀率波动,外来直接投资和金融发展对马来西亚的增长波动具有显着的负面影响。扩展了该模型以计算金融发展对通胀波动,贸易开放度和外国直接投资对马来西亚增长波动的影响的调节作用。结果表明,金融发展不仅对增长波动具有直接影响,而且还减轻了通货膨胀率波动,贸易开放度和外国直接投资对增长波动率的影响。因此,我们的结果扩展了有关马来西亚经济金融增长波动性关系的既定发现。更重要的是,它显示了金融发展带来的其他可能带来的利益,以促进增长稳定。此外,我们注意到,忽略此类收益可能导致了金融增长波动性文献中报道的相互矛盾的经验结果。我们基于这样的经验结果提供一些具体的政策含义,这些结果有益于马来西亚经济和该地区其他国家。贸易开放度和外国直接投资对增长波动的影响。因此,我们的结果扩展了有关马来西亚经济金融增长波动性关系的既定发现。更重要的是,它显示了金融发展带来的其他可能带来的利益,以促进增长稳定。此外,我们注意到,忽略此类收益可能导致了金融增长波动性文献中报道的相互矛盾的经验结果。我们基于这样的经验结果提供一些具体的政策含义,这些结果有益于马来西亚经济和该地区其他国家。贸易开放度和外国直接投资对增长波动的影响。因此,我们的结果扩展了有关马来西亚经济金融增长波动性关系的既定发现。更重要的是,它显示了金融发展带来的其他可能带来的利益,以促进增长稳定。此外,我们注意到,忽略此类收益可能导致了金融增长波动性文献中报道的相互矛盾的经验结果。我们基于这样的经验结果提供一些具体的政策含义,这些结果有益于马来西亚经济和该地区其他国家。我们注意到,忽略此类收益可能导致了金融增长波动性文献中报道的相互矛盾的经验结果。我们基于这样的经验结果提供一些具体的政策含义,这些结果有益于马来西亚经济和该地区其他国家。我们注意到,忽略此类收益可能导致了金融增长波动性文献中报道的相互矛盾的经验结果。我们基于这样的经验结果提供一些具体的政策含义,这些结果有益于马来西亚经济和该地区其他国家。

JEL分类: C32,E32,O16

更新日期:2020-11-01
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