This article investigates the effect of local economic conditions on voting behavior by focusing on the export-oriented agricultural areas of Argentina during the commodities boom. It assesses the marginal effect of export wealth on electoral outcomes by studying the impact of soybean production, the main Argentine export product during this period. The combination of rising agricultural prices and a salient national tax on exports allows us to evaluate how wealth and tax policy shape local electoral behavior. This study relies on a spatial econometric analysis of the vote across Argentine departments for the 2007–15 period, along with qualitative evidence from interviews and a descriptive analysis of government appointments.

中文翻译：

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2007-2015 年阿根廷地方经济投票和农业繁荣

本文通过关注大宗商品繁荣时期阿根廷的出口导向型农业区，研究当地经济状况对投票行为的影响。它通过研究大豆生产的影响来评估出口财富对选举结果的边际影响，大豆生产是这一时期阿根廷的主要出口产品。不断上涨的农产品价格和突出的国家出口税相结合，使我们能够评估财富和税收政策如何影响地方选举行为。这项研究依赖于对 2007-15 年期间阿根廷各部门投票的空间计量经济学分析，以及来自访谈的定性证据和对政府任命的描述性分析。