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Monetary model of exchange rate determination under floating and non-floating regimes
China Finance Review International ( IF 9.0 ) Pub Date : 2019-05-20 , DOI: 10.1108/cfri-10-2017-0204
Oyakhilome Wallace Ibhagui

The purpose of this paper is to empirically analyse how different exchange rate regimes affect the links between monetary fundamentals and exchange rates in Sub-Saharan Africa.,Using the Pedroni method for panel cointegration, mean group and pooled mean group and the panel vector autoregressive technique, this study empirically investigates whether monetary fundamentals impact exchange rates similarly in both regimes. Thus, the author acquires needed and credible empirical data.,The result suggests that the impact is dissimilar. In the floating regime, an increase in relative money supply and relative real output depreciates and appreciates the nominal exchange rate in the long run whereas in the non-floating regime, the evidence is mixed. Thus, exchange rates bear a theoretically consistent relationship with monetary fundamentals across SSA countries with floating regimes but fails under non-floating regimes. This provides evidence that regime choice is important if the relationship between monetary fundamentals and exchange rates in SSA are to be theoretically consistent.,This study empirically incorporates the dissimilarities in exchange rate regimes in a panel framework and study the links between exchange rates and monetary fundamentals. The focus on how exchange rate regimes might alter the equilibrium relationships between exchange rates and monetary fundamentals in SSA is a pioneering experiment.

中文翻译:

浮动和非浮动制度下的汇率确定货币模型

本文的目的是对撒哈拉以南非洲不同的汇率制度如何影响货币基础与汇率之间的联系进行实证分析。使用佩德罗尼方法进行面板协整,均值组和合并均值组以及面板矢量自回归技术,这项研究从经验上调查了货币基本面是否会在两种制度下同样影响汇率。因此,作者获得了需要的和可靠的经验数据。结果表明,影响是不一样的。在浮动汇率制中,相对货币供应量和相对实际产出的增长从长远来看会贬值并升值名义汇率,而在非浮动汇率制中,证据则是好坏参半。因此,汇率在具有浮动制度的撒哈拉以南非洲国家与货币基本面具有理论上一致的关系,但在非浮动制度下则不起作用。这提供了证据,表明撒哈拉以南地区的货币基本面和汇率之间的关系要在理论上保持一致是很重要的。政权选择很重要。本研究以面板框架的方式将汇率制度的不同之处纳入研究范围,并研究汇率和货币基本面之间的联系。对SSA中汇率制度如何改变汇率与货币基本面之间的均衡关系的关注是一项开创性的实验。这提供了证据,表明撒哈拉以南地区的货币基本面和汇率之间的关系要在理论上保持一致是很重要的。政权选择很重要。本研究以面板框架的方式将汇率制度的不同之处纳入研究范围,并研究汇率和货币基本面之间的联系。对SSA中汇率制度如何改变汇率与货币基本面之间的均衡关系的关注是一项开创性的实验。这提供了证据,表明撒哈拉以南地区的货币基本面和汇率之间的关系要在理论上保持一致是很重要的。政权选择很重要。本研究以面板框架的方式将汇率制度的不同之处纳入研究范围,并研究汇率和货币基本面之间的联系。对SSA中汇率制度如何改变汇率与货币基本面之间的均衡关系的关注是一项开创性的实验。
更新日期:2019-05-20
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