This note discusses three issues that Allen and Pardo believe to be especially problematic for a probabilistic interpretation of standards of proof: (1) the subjectivity of probability assignments; (2) the conjunction paradox; and (3) the non-comparative nature of probabilistic standards. I offer a reading of probabilistic standards that avoids these criticisms.

中文翻译：

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司法证明中的合理性和概率

本笔记讨论了 Allen 和 Pardo 认为对证明标准的概率解释尤其成问题的三个问题：（1）概率分配的主观性；(2) 连词悖论；(3) 概率标准的非比较性。我提供了避免这些批评的概率标准的阅读。