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Economic effects of shifting airport activity in the Los Angeles metro region
Research in Transportation Economics ( IF 4.6 ) Pub Date : 2021-02-18 , DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2020.101021
Clinton Oster , John Strong

We estimate the economic effects of a reallocation of passenger traffic from congested Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) to Ontario International Airport (ONT). We find that the relative market shares of the two airports are a function of time and distance, relative fares, and absolute frequencies. Given increasing congestion and population growth patterns, there appears to be potential for expanded operations at Ontario, with resulting economic and environmental benefits. We define the potential market as those travelers choosing LAX despite being closer in travel time and distance to ONT, based on specific postal codes. Using estimates of the value of time, vehicle and aircraft operating costs, and emissions, we calculate the potential effects of shifting both for the average individual passenger and for 10 percent of the potential market from LAX to ONT. These estimated shifts would require only a relatively small percentage change in flight operations. We estimate the value of time and cost savings for both private and ride-sharing services at between $6 million and $11 million annually for a 10 percent shift, depending on whether parking fee differentials are included. The parking fee differentials represent just over half the estimated savings for private vehicle travelers, and to some degree may reflect locational rents rather than resource costs to the overall economy. We also estimate potential reductions in CO2 emissions of more than 4200 tons annually for a 10 percent shift, as well as meaningful reductions in hydrocarbons, CO, and NOx.



中文翻译:

洛杉矶都会区机场活动转移的经济影响

我们估计了从拥挤的洛杉矶国际机场 (LAX) 到安大略国际机场 (ONT) 的客运量重新分配的经济影响。我们发现两个机场的相对市场份额是时间和距离、相对票价和绝对频率的函数。鉴于日益拥挤和人口增长模式,安大略似乎有扩大业务的潜力,从而带来经济和环境效益。我们将潜在市场定义为那些虽然在旅行时间和距离上距离 ONT 更近但选择 LAX 的旅行者,但基于特定的邮政编码。使用对时间价值、车辆和飞机运营成本以及排放量的估计,我们计算了将普通乘客和 10% 的潜在市场从 LAX 转移到 ONT 的潜在影响。这些估计的变化只需要在飞行操作中进行相对较小的百分比变化。我们估计私人和拼车服务每年节省 600 万至 1100 万美元的时间和成本价值在 10% 的变化之间,这取决于是否包括停车费差异。停车费差额仅占私家车旅客估计节省的一半多一点,并且在某种程度上可能反映了位置租金而不是整体经济的资源成本。我们还估计 CO 的潜在减少量 我们估计私人和拼车服务每年节省 600 万至 1100 万美元的时间和成本价值在 10% 的变化之间,这取决于是否包括停车费差异。停车费差额仅占私家车旅客估计节省的一半多一点,并且在某种程度上可能反映了位置租金而不是整体经济的资源成本。我们还估计 CO 的潜在减少量 我们估计私人和拼车服务每年节省 600 万至 1100 万美元的时间和成本价值在 10% 的变化之间,这取决于是否包括停车费差异。停车费差额仅占私家车旅客估计节省的一半多一点,并且在某种程度上可能反映了位置租金而不是整体经济的资源成本。我们还估计 CO 的潜在减少量 并且在某种程度上可能反映了区域租金而不是整体经济的资源成本。我们还估计 CO 的潜在减少量 并且在某种程度上可能反映了区域租金而不是整体经济的资源成本。我们还估计 CO 的潜在减少量2每年排放量超过 4200 吨,变化 10%,同时显着减少碳氢化合物、CO 和 NOx。

更新日期:2021-02-18
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