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Application of a hybrid Delphi and aggregation–disaggregation procedure for group decision-making
EURO Journal on Decision Processes ( IF 2.3 ) Pub Date : 2019-01-02 , DOI: 10.1007/s40070-018-0094-3
Andrej Bregar

A hybrid procedure for group multiple criteria decision analysis is introduced that consolidates a moderated Delphi process with an autonomous aggregation–disaggregation mechanism. The research is based on the assumption that both consolidated approaches can lead to synergistic effects when properly combined. The paper justifies the hybrid procedure by comparing the three approaches, and by assessing it with a preliminary case study that is based on several factors of a universal framework for the evaluation of group decision-making methods and systems. These factors address convergence of the decision-making process, conflict resolution and cognitive complexity. The paper aims to define the decision-making process completely and thoroughly, fully operationalize all steps of the hybrid procedure algorithmically and methodologically and provide an application of the procedure. The application shows that the process converges and imposes acceptable cognitive load on the decision-makers, which implies that the hybrid procedure is able to perform efficiently.

中文翻译:

混合德尔菲和聚集-分解程序在群体决策中的应用

引入了用于组多准则决策分析的混合过程,该过程将调节的Delphi过程与自治的聚集-分解机制合并在一起。该研究基于这样的假设:如果正确组合,两种合并方法都可以产生协同效应。本文通过比较这三种方法,并以一个初步的案例研究进行评估来证明混合过程的合理性,该案例研究是基于评估群体决策方法和系统的通用框架的几个因素得出的。这些因素解决了决策过程的收敛,冲突解决和认知复杂性。本文旨在全面,彻底地定义决策过程,在算法和方法上完全操作混合过程的所有步骤,并提供该过程的应用。该应用程序表明,该过程会收敛并给决策者施加可接受的认知负担,这意味着混合过程能够有效执行。
更新日期:2019-01-02
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