During 2002–2018, the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) accounted globally for 36.1 per cent of terrorist incidents, 49.3 per cent of terrorist‐induced casualties, and 21.4 per cent of conflict deaths. One focus here is to investigate how MENA's terrorist attacks and conflicts compare with those in the world's other six regions during selected periods, drawn from 1970–2018. There is a well‐defined shift of terrorism from Latin America, Europe and Central Asia to MENA, South Asia, and sub‐Saharan Africa after 1989. A second focus is to employ panel regressions to contrast the drivers of global terrorism with those of MENA terrorism. Democracy and civil conflicts are main drivers of MENA terrorism, followed by population. Regional peacekeeping can have an ameliorating effect on terrorism by limiting conflict. The Arab Spring and associated regime changes are shown to have ushered in a wave of terrorism in MENA. Policy recommendations conclude the study.

中文翻译：

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中东和北非：恐怖主义和冲突

2002-2018 年，中东和北非 (MENA) 占全球恐怖主义事件的 36.1%、恐怖主义造成的伤亡的 49.3% 和冲突死亡的 21.4%。这里的一个重点是调查在 1970 年至 2018 年的选定时期内，中东和北非地区的恐怖袭击和冲突与世界其他六个地区的恐怖袭击和冲突相比如何。1989 年之后，恐怖主义从拉丁美洲、欧洲和中亚转移到中东和北非、南亚和撒哈拉以南非洲。第二个重点是使用面板回归来对比全球恐怖主义的驱动因素与中东和北非的驱动因素恐怖主义。民主和国内冲突是中东和北非恐怖主义的主要驱动因素，其次是人口。区域维和可以通过限制冲突来减轻恐怖主义的影响。阿拉伯之春和相关的政权更迭被证明在中东和北非地区引发了恐怖主义浪潮。政策建议结束了研究。