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QUICK COUNTS AND EXIT POLLS IN THE MEXICAN ELECTIONS
Polis ( IF 0.3 ) Pub Date : 2019-07-01 , DOI: 10.24275/uam/izt/dcsh/polis/2019v15n2/carrera
José Antonio Carrera Barroso ,

Elections are the peaceful mechanism to form the representative organs of the State. They endow citizens with legitimacy through free suffrage. Therefore, they need a design with instruments that make them accessible, meaningful, generate conciliation and certainty at each stage of the electoral process. The preliminary results programs aim to inform in advance the voting trends in a period between the closing of the polls and the publication of the official results. Therefore, the objective of this paper is to explain the importance of these tools from two perspectives. First, it is important to address quick counts and exit polls as tools that strengthen electoral democracy. On the other hand, it is important to assess these tools from a statistical point of view, by explaining the levels of significance and the margin of error in the construction of samples.

中文翻译:

墨西哥选举中的快速计票和退出投票

选举是组建国家代表机关的和平机制。他们通过自由选举赋予公民合法性。因此,他们需要一种带有工具的设计,使其易于使用、有意义,并在选举过程的每个阶段产生和解和确定性。初步结果计划旨在提前告知投票结束和官方结果公布之间的投票趋势。因此,本文的目的是从两个角度解释这些工具的重要性。首先,重要的是将快速计票和出口民意调查作为加强选举民主的工具。另一方面,从统计的角度评估这些工具很重要,
更新日期:2019-07-01
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