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A robust expert decision support system for making real estate location decisions, a case of investor-developer-user organization in industry 4.0 era
Journal of Corporate Real Estate ( IF 2.6 ) Pub Date : 2019-11-17 , DOI: 10.1108/jcre-03-2019-0019
Sam Mosallaeipour , Seyed Mahdi Shavarani , Charlotte Steens , Adrienn Eros

This paper aims to introduce a practical expert decision support system (EDSS) for performing location analysis and making real estate location decisions in the organization’s facility and real estate management (FREM) department in presence of several decision criteria, under risk and uncertainty. This tool is particularly useful for making strategic decisions in facility planning, portfolio management, investment appraisal, development project evaluations and deciding on usage possibilities in an unbiased, objective manner.,The proposed EDSS uses fuzzy logic and uncertainty theory as two of the most useful tools to deal with uncertainties involved in the problem environment. The system performs an unbiased mathematical analysis on the input data provided by the decision-maker, using a combination of Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Global Criterion Method; determines a suitable compromise level between the objectives; and delivers a set of locations that complies best with the outlined desires of the management as the final solution. The application of the system is tested on a real case and has delivered satisfactory results.,The proposed EDSS took the defined objectives, the list of alternative locations, and their attributes as the required input for problem-solving, and used a combination of AHP, Possibilistic approach, and global criterion method to solve the problem. The delivered outcome was a set of proper locations with the right attributes to meet all objectives of the organization at a satisfactory level, confirmed by the problem owners.,The application of such a system with such a degree of preciseness and complexity has been very limited in the literature. The system designed in this study is an Industry 4.0 decision making tool. For designing this system several body of knowledge are used. The present study is particularly useful for making strategic decisions in the domains of portfolio management, investment appraisal, project development evaluations and deciding on property usage possibilities. The proposed EDSS takes the information provided by the experts in the field (through qualitative and quantitative data collecting) as the inputs and operates as an objective decision-making tool using several bodies of knowledge considering the trends and developments in the world of FREM. The strong scientific method used in the core of the proposed EDSS guarantees a highly accurate result.

中文翻译:

一个强大的专家决策支持系统,可用于房地产位置决策,以工业4.0时代的投资者-开发商-用户组织为例

本文旨在介绍一种实用的专家决策支持系统(EDSS),该系统可在存在风险和不确定性的情况下,在存在多个决策标准的情况下,在组织的设施和房地产管理(FREM)部门中执行位置分析并做出房地产位置决策。该工具对于在设施计划,投资组合管理,投资评估,开发项目评估中做出战略性决策以及以无偏见,客观的方式确定使用可能性特别有用。拟议的EDSS使用模糊逻辑和不确定性理论作为最有用的两个解决问题环境中不确定性的工具。系统对决策者提供的输入数据执行无偏数学分析,结合使用层次分析法(AHP)和全局准则方法;确定目标之间的适当折衷水平;并提供一组最符合管理层概述的最终解决方案的位置。该系统的应用经过实际案例测试,并取得了令人满意的结果。拟议的EDSS以定义的目标,替代位置的列表及其属性作为解决问题的必要输入,并结合了AHP ,可能性方法和全局准则方法来解决该问题。已交付的结果是一组正确的位置,这些位置具有正确的属性,可以令人满意地满足组织的所有目标,并得到问题所有者的确认。具有如此精确度和复杂度的这种系统的应用在文献中已经非常有限。本研究中设计的系统是工业4.0决策工具。为了设计该系统,使用了一些知识体系。本研究对于在投资组合管理,投资评估,项目开发评估以及确定物业使用可能性等领域做出战略决策特别有用。拟议的EDSS以现场专家提供的信息(通过定性和定量数据收集)为输入,并使用客观的决策工具,结合FREM世界的趋势和发展,使用多种知识。
更新日期:2019-11-17
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