Abstract

Recent changes in New Zealand law decreased the cost of dismissing employees within their first 3 months with an employer, with the aim of encouraging firms to increase hiring by reducing the associated risk. We use monthly linked employer–employee data and exploit the staggered introduction of the policy to estimate its effect on hiring. We find that the policy had little effect on the number of hires, the hiring of jobseekers of unknown quality, or the stability of employment. Our results suggest that policies that temporarily lower dismissal costs do not necessarily increase firm hiring.

中文翻译：

---

试用期对企业雇佣行为的影响

摘要

新西兰法律的最新变化降低了在解雇雇员的头三个月内解雇雇员的成本，目的是鼓励公司通过降低相关风险来增加雇用人数。我们使用每月链接的雇主-雇员数据，并采用交错引入的政策来估计其对雇用的影响。我们发现，该政策对雇用人数，雇用质量不明的求职者或就业稳定性影响不大。我们的结果表明，暂时降低解雇成本的政策并不一定会增加公司的招聘人数。