This study proposes a novel statistical procedure to test the export-led growth hypothesis. The procedure integrates a Fisher-type causality method in the statistical analysis. In order to demonstrate the application of this procedure, this study examined the exports–growth nexus in low-income and lower middle-income countries in Africa. The findings obtained from the newly-proposed integrated statistical procedure were more conclusive compared to the results obtained from the individual causality tests; the findings also highlighted a complex nature of the exports–growth nexus in Africa.

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检验出口导向增长假设的新程序：研究报告

本研究提出了一种新的统计程序来检验出口导向的增长假设。该程序在统计分析中集成了 Fisher 型因果关系方法。为了证明该程序的应用，本研究考察了非洲低收入和中低收入国家的出口增长关系。与从个体因果关系检验中获得的结果相比，从新提出的综合统计程序中获得的结果更具决定性；调查结果还强调了非洲出口与增长关系的复杂性。