Abstract Iran—US relations are in a state of flux due to President Trump’s draconian sanctions, what is dubbed the ‘maximum pressure’ campaign, to force Iran to renegotiate the 2015 nuclear deal. Iran’s ‘counter pressure’ policy, in contrast, has sought to blunt the effects of sanctions and compel the Trump administration to return to the nuclear deal. This article examines the basic thrust, goals and shortcomings of Trump’s anti-Iran campaign, and also explores Iran’s policy choices and responses to face off Trump’s campaign of ‘maximum pressure’. The prospect of slow death under sanctions and recent changes in Iran’s domestic power equations in favour of the hardliners is potentially paving the way for Iran for a war decision to permanently free itself from the suffocating shackles of US sanctions.

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特朗普总统的“极限施压”运动和伊朗的结局

摘要 伊朗 - 由于特朗普总统的严厉制裁，即所谓的“最大压力”运动，迫使伊朗重新谈判 2015 年核协议，美国关系处于不稳定状态。相比之下，伊朗的“反压力”政策试图削弱制裁的影响并迫使特朗普政府重返核协议。本文考察了特朗普反伊运动的基本主旨、目标和不足，并探讨了伊朗应对特朗普“极限施压”运动的政策选择和应对措施。在制裁下缓慢死亡的前景以及伊朗国内权力等式最近发生的有利于强硬派的变化，可能为伊朗做出战争决定铺平道路，以永久摆脱美国制裁令人窒息的束缚。