ABSTRACT

This paper estimates the effects of attending a vocational higher track secondary (HTS) school compared to a general HTS school. It considers the case of Germany, where both schools provide access to tertiary education. Identification uses selection-on-observables and instrumental variables strategies. Attending a vocational HTS school has no effect on HTS graduation and a small negative effect on planned university attendance. There are positive effects on career planning, i.e. whether the pupil has a clear plan where to apply after school. After controlling for selection, vocational HTS pupils face higher earnings at early ages, with little differences at later ages.

摘要

本文估计了与普通HTS学校相比，就读职业高中（HTS）学校的效果。它以德国为例，两所学校均提供高等教育。识别使用可观察选择和工具变量策略。上HTS职业学校对HTS的毕业没有影响，对计划的大学出勤也有很小的负面影响。这对职业规划有积极的影响，即学生是否有一个清晰的计划，放学后可以在哪里申请。在控制好选择之后，高职高专学生在幼年时面临较高的收入，而在晚年时几乎没有差异。