ABSTRACT

Research has indicated a relationship between neighborhood disorder and risk for offending, but little has taken a developmental perspective. Group-based trajectory modeling was used to identify latent developmental patterns of exposure to community disorder during adolescence and adulthood. Negative binomial regression and logistic regression were used to examine the impact that exposure to neighborhood disorder had for predicting offending outcomes in adulthood. Results indicated that a two-group model best fit the data, with both groups demonstrating a great deal of stability. Assignment to the High group was associated with significantly greater offending frequency and odds of offending in adulthood.

摘要

研究表明邻里障碍与犯罪风险之间存在关系，但很少有人从发展的角度进行研究。基于组的轨迹模型用于确定青春期和成年期暴露于社区疾病的潜在发展模式。负二项式回归和逻辑回归用于检验邻里疾病的暴露对预测成年后犯罪后果的影响。结果表明，两组模型最适合数据，两组都显示出很大的稳定性。分配给“高”组的人与犯罪频率和成年犯罪几率显着相关。