ABSTRACT This article discusses the relationship between South Africa (SA) and the United Kingdom (UK) in the post-Brexit era. An overview of the history of the SA-UK relationship until the negotiation of the SACU + M-UK agreement in 2019 is provided. At least two scenarios in a post-Brexit UK-European Union trade relationship are analysed and their implications for SA-UK relations are discussed. The article explores the question: will the post-Brexit period be characterised by an increasingly aggressive Britain striving to re-assert its power in the world, or shall the world see a new idealist Britain seeking to increase cooperation in its own region and globally? The article argues that South Africa should expect the first scenario but also prepare to influence the UK towards the second scenario.

中文翻译：

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英国脱欧后南非-英国贸易的未来

摘要 本文讨论了脱欧后南非 (SA) 和英国 (UK) 之间的关系。概述了 SA-UK 关系的历史，直到 2019 年 SACU + M-UK 协议的谈判。分析了英国脱欧后英国-欧盟贸易关系中的至少两种情景，并讨论了它们对南非-英国关系的影响。文章探讨了一个问题：英国脱欧后的特征是日益咄咄逼人的英国力图重新确立其在世界上的权力，还是世界会看到一个新的理想主义英国寻求在本地区和全球范围内加强合作？文章认为，南非应该期待第一种情景，但也准备影响英国走向第二种情景。