ABSTRACT Recent developments in artificial intelligence (AI) suggest that this emerging technology will have a deterministic and potentially transformative influence on military power, strategic competition, and world politics more broadly. After the initial surge of broad speculation in the literature related to AI this article provides some much needed specificity to the debate. It argues that left unchecked the uncertainties and vulnerabilities created by the rapid proliferation and diffusion of AI could become a major potential source of instability and great power strategic rivalry. The article identifies several AI-related innovations and technological developments that will likely have genuine consequences for military applications from a tactical battlefield perspective to the strategic level.

中文翻译：

---

人工智能与未来战争：对国际安全的影响

摘要 人工智能 (AI) 的最新发展表明，这种新兴技术将对军事实力、战略竞争和更广泛的世界政治产生确定性和潜在的变革性影响。在与 AI 相关的文献中最初出现广泛猜测之后，本文为辩论提供了一些急需的特异性。它认为，人工智能的快速扩散和扩散所造成的不确定性和脆弱性如果不加控制，可能会成为不稳定和大国战略竞争的主要潜在来源。本文确定了几项与人工智能相关的创新和技术发展，这些创新和技术发展可能会对从战术战场角度到战略层面的军事应用产生真正的影响。