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Pursuing justice, obstructing peace: the impact of ICC arrest warrants on resolving civil wars
Conflict, Security & Development ( IF 1.1 ) Pub Date : 2020-03-27 , DOI: 10.1080/14678802.2020.1741934
Allard Duursma 1
Affiliation  

ABSTRACT The question of how International Criminal Court (ICC) involvement affects civil war peace processes has attracted considerable debate. Systematic assessments of the impact of ICC arrest warrants have begun to emerge, but the evidence is mixed. Based on data from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) on intrastate conflicts between 2002 and 2018, this article presents evidence that suggests that ICC arrest warrants do not inhibit the onset of mediation. Neither do ICC arrest warrants seem to prevent peace agreements from being concluded. Crucially, however, ICC arrest warrants do seem to undermine the prospects for conflict resolution, defined as the termination of a conflict through a negotiated settlement. A closer look at mediation efforts in Uganda, Sudan, and the DRC reveals some of the causal mechanisms that underlie the finding that ICC involvement undermines the prospects for conflict resolution.

中文翻译:

追求正义,阻碍和平:国际刑事法院逮捕令对解决内战的影响

摘要国际刑事法院(ICC)的参与如何影响内战和平进程的问题引起了广泛的争论。对ICC逮捕令影响的系统评估已开始出现,但证据好坏参半。根据Uppsala冲突数据计划(UCDP)关于2002年至2018年之间州际冲突的数据,本文提供了证据,表明ICC逮捕令不会抑制调解的开始。国际商会的逮捕令似乎也没有阻止达成和平协议。然而,至关重要的是,ICC的逮捕令似乎确实破坏了解决冲突的可能性,解决冲突的定义是通过谈判达成的和解来结束冲突。仔细研究苏丹乌干达的调解工作,
更新日期:2020-03-27
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