ABSTRACT In many countries, students are selected into higher education institutions based on their achievement at high school, measured by scores given by their teachers and obtained on final national exams. This paper compares these two measures in terms of their ability to predict students' success in higher education. Accounting for sample selection problems, we find that the high school score is a stronger predictor of students' performance at university. However, the score obtained in the mathematics national exam still adds information. We conclude that both measures are complementary, a result that is relevant for university recruitment and selection policies.

中文翻译：

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高等教育中的学生选择和表现：入学考试与高中成绩

摘要在许多国家/地区，根据高中生的成绩（由老师给出的分数并通过最终的国家考试获得），将他们选入高等教育机构。本文从预测学生在高等教育中的成功的能力方面比较了这两种方法。考虑到样本选择问题，我们发现高中分数更能预测学生在大学的表现。但是，在数学全国考试中获得的分数仍会增加信息。我们得出结论，这两种措施是相辅相成的，这一结果与大学的招聘和选拔政策有关。