ABSTRACT

President Donald Trump's long-awaited Middle East peace plan was unveiled on 28 January 2020. Some observers have suggested that the Trump vision is less a plan for peace than a unilateral statement of the terms for Palestinian surrender: Jerusalem as the undivided capital of Israel, no refugee return and Israel's annexation of the Jordan valley and all West Bank settlements in exchange for an “archipelago” state and the promise of a $50 billion investment fund. This policy commentary assesses what the Trump plan means for the peace process launched in Madrid in 1991. It reviews the evolution of the Madrid/Oslo process with particular emphasis on the underlying principles the Trump plan appears to contradict. It examines Canada's role in the process, assesses Ottawa's initial response to the Trump plan in terms of long-standing Canadian policy and outlines ways in which Canada could influence the debate going forward.

摘要

唐纳德·特朗普总统期待已久的中东和平计划于2020年1月28日揭幕。一些观察家认为，特朗普的愿景与其说是和平计划，不如是单方面声明巴勒斯坦投降的条件：耶路撒冷是以色列不可分割的首都，没有难民返回，以色列吞并了约旦河谷和所有西岸定居点，以换取一个“ archipelago”州和一个500亿美元投资基金的承诺。该政策评论评估了特朗普计划对1991年在马德里启动的和平进程的意义。它回顾了马德里/奥斯陆进程的演变，并特别强调了特朗普计划看来与之相抵触的基本原则。它审查了加拿大在此过程中的作用，评估了渥太华