As the Covid-19 crisis deepened in 2020, President Joko Widodo announced that Indonesia should prepare for the ‘new normal’. But when social distancing restrictions were relaxed in June to encourage economic recovery, the virus was not yet contained in Indonesia. Since then, the rate of infection has been rising faster than in many neighbouring countries. The pandemic has hit the economy hard, with a 5.3% reduction in GDP in the second quarter, the worst economic slump since 1998. In this Survey, we look at how Indonesia is preparing for the new normal. We argue that the government is focused on short-term recovery and does not have a clear strategy to address the medium-and longer-term implications of Covid-19. The response to the virus relies on public compliance to public health measures. There is a clear lack of emphasis on reducing the rate of infection through effective testing and tracing and enforcing social distancing and mobility restrictions. The government has developed an economic recovery plan that concentrates on cushioning the short-term impact of the crisis and supporting the poor and near-poor, rather than reducing long-term poverty and preventing structural changes in unemployment. Finally, we find that the pandemic is undermining the long-term financial sustainability of Indonesia’s social health insurance system. The education sector is reasonably prepared for extended school closures and distance learning. Yet there is no strategy to address the accumulated learning losses resulting from this crisis.

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新常态下的印度尼西亚：挑战和未来之路

随着 2020 年 Covid-19 危机的加深，佐科总统宣布印度尼西亚应为“新常态”做好准备。但是，当 6 月放宽社交距离限制以鼓励经济复苏时，该病毒尚未在印度尼西亚得到控制。从那时起，感染率的上升速度超过了许多邻国。大流行对经济造成了沉重打击，第二季度 GDP 下降了 5.3%，这是自 1998 年以来最严重的经济衰退。在本次调查中，我们将了解印度尼西亚如何为新常态做准备。我们认为，政府专注于短期复苏，并没有明确的战略来解决 Covid-19 的中长期影响。对该病毒的反应取决于公众对公共卫生措施的遵守情况。显然没有强调通过有效的检测和追踪以及强制执行社交距离和行动限制来降低感染率。政府制定了一项经济复苏计划，重点是缓冲危机的短期影响并支持贫困和接近贫困的人，而不是减少长期贫困和防止失业结构性变化。最后，我们发现大流行正在破坏印度尼西亚社会医疗保险体系的长期财务可持续性。教育部门已为延长停课时间和远程学习做好了合理准备。然而，没有任何策略可以解决这场危机造成的累积学习损失。政府制定了一项经济复苏计划，重点是缓冲危机的短期影响并支持贫困和接近贫困的人，而不是减少长期贫困和防止失业结构性变化。最后，我们发现大流行正在破坏印度尼西亚社会医疗保险体系的长期财务可持续性。教育部门已为延长停课时间和远程学习做好了合理准备。然而，没有任何策略可以解决这场危机造成的累积学习损失。政府制定了一项经济复苏计划，重点是缓冲危机的短期影响并支持贫困和接近贫困的人，而不是减少长期贫困和防止失业结构性变化。最后，我们发现大流行正在破坏印度尼西亚社会医疗保险体系的长期财务可持续性。教育部门已为延长停课时间和远程学习做好了合理准备。然而，没有任何策略可以解决这场危机造成的累积学习损失。我们发现大流行正在破坏印度尼西亚社会医疗保险体系的长期财务可持续性。教育部门为延长停课时间和远程学习做好了合理的准备。然而，没有任何策略可以解决这场危机造成的累积学习损失。我们发现大流行正在破坏印度尼西亚社会医疗保险体系的长期财务可持续性。教育部门为延长停课时间和远程学习做好了合理的准备。然而，没有任何策略可以解决这场危机造成的累积学习损失。