ABSTRACT

Being highly sensitive to the climatic condition, nature-based destinations will be faced with many changes due to climate change. Given this, it is essential to assess the impacts of projected climate change on tourism development in coastal destinations. Based on the application of the Physiologically Equivalent Temperature, this study investigates climatic information for the present and predicted conditions in the future to discuss the climate change impacts on tourism development. The results show this Iranian leading destination will become too hot in summer and a more pleasant destination in autumn and winter. Increasing investment in indoor facilities may become increasingly necessary for summer, and part of the demand should be moved from summer to the rest of the year.

摘要

由于对气候条件高度敏感，以自然为基础的目的地将面临气候变化带来的诸多变化。鉴于此，有必要评估预计的气候变化对沿海目的地旅游业发展的影响。本研究基于生理等效温度的应用，调查当前和未来预测条件的气候信息，以讨论气候变化对旅游业发展的影响。结果表明，这个伊朗的主要目的地在夏季会变得太热，而在秋季和冬季会变得更宜人。夏季可能越来越需要增加对室内设施的投资，部分需求应从夏季转移到全年剩余时间。