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From “sunny ways” to “dark days”: the 2019 Canadian Federal Election suggests that Canada is not a positive outlier to populist politics but gripped by feelings of declinism
Canadian Foreign Policy Journal ( IF 0.8 ) Pub Date : 2020-03-10 , DOI: 10.1080/11926422.2020.1724166
Nik Nanos 1
Affiliation  

ABSTRACT The purpose of this paper is to examine whether Canada is immune to populist-style politics sweeping other Western democracies. Using political and economic sentiment research, the paper explores the intersection of economic anxiety and foreign policy on the political milieu for the 2019 General Election. It will cast light on whether Canada is a positive outlier as was the case in the winning “sunny ways” campaign of Liberal Justin Trudeau in 2015 or whether the 2019 campaign was more characteristic of a divisive negative election or more “dark days”. This paper will be of value to observers outside of Canada who are familiar with the outcome of the 2015 election, Trudeau's proactive positive brand on the world stage but who are unfamiliar with the structural economic sub-text of anxiety and declinism that exists in Canada. The key observations are that Canada should not be considered an exception to populist-style politics and that perceptions of declinism exist in the populace. The 2019 Canadian General Election was similar to elections in other major Western democracies which had outcomes of a weakening political consensus. This paper is intended to be a brief scan of the environment in Canada as it relates to populism.

中文翻译:

从“阳光灿烂的日子”到“黑暗的日子”:2019 年加拿大联邦选举表明,加拿大不是民粹主义政治的积极局外人,而是被衰落感所困扰

摘要 本文的目的是检验加拿大是否不受席卷其他西方民主国家的民粹主义政治的影响。本文利用政治和经济情绪研究,探讨了经济焦虑与外交政策在 2019 年大选政治环境中的交叉点。它将阐明加拿大是否像 2015 年自由党贾斯汀·特鲁多获胜的“阳光之路”竞选活动那样是一个积极的异常值,或者 2019 年的竞选活动是否更具分裂性的负面选举或更“黑暗的日子”。对于熟悉 2015 年大选结果(特鲁多在世界舞台上积极主动的积极品牌,但不熟悉加拿大存在的焦虑和衰退的结构性经济潜台词)的加拿大以外的观察家,本文将具有价值。主要观察结果是,加拿大不应被视为民粹主义政治的例外,并且民众中存在衰落主义的看法。2019 年加拿大大选类似于其他主要西方民主国家的选举,其结果是政治共识减弱。本文旨在简要回顾加拿大与民粹主义相关的环境。
更新日期:2020-03-10
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