Motorcycles dominate urban road traffic across Asia. We analyse how urban form influences preferences for motorcycle use, using a multinomial logistic regression model and data from a recent field study in the metropolitan area of Yogyakarta. We find that urban form explains about 20% of the observed variance in transport mode choice and that population density has a statistically significant positive effect on the likelihood of using a motorcycle for commuting. In addition, we find that the likelihood of choosing a motorcycle over other transport modes is highest for individuals living at intermediate distances from the city centre and that, in comparison with other transport modes, motorcycle use is most sensitive to travel distance. Our results suggest that a compact urban form, including a high population density and short commuting distances, may help in reducing the growth of motorcycle use in urban areas.

摩托车在亚洲的城市道路交通中占主导地位。我们使用多项逻辑回归模型和最近在日惹大都市区进行的实地研究的数据，分析了城市形态如何影响摩托车使用偏好。我们发现，城市形态解释了大约 20% 的交通方式选择中观察到的差异，人口密度对使用摩托车通勤的可能性具有统计学上显着的积极影响。此外，我们发现居住在距离市中心中等距离的人选择摩托车而不是其他交通方式的可能性最高，并且与其他交通方式相比，摩托车的使用对出行距离最敏感。我们的研究结果表明，紧凑的城市形态，包括高人口密度和短通勤距离，