ABSTRACT After a quarter of a century of oscillating relations between Washington and Moscow, Trump’s 2017 National Security Strategy named Russia as one of the main challengers to the US-led order. Power transition theory is used to explain the alternating cooperative and competitive phases during each of the first three post-Cold War US presidencies: first, initial attempts at cooperation are driven by US willingness to integrate its former rival into the liberal order; then, regression into competition follows as Washington’s influence rises in territories that Moscow considers sensitive for its national security.

中文翻译：

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从重启到重启：冷战后的美俄周期性关系

摘要 在华盛顿和莫斯科之间长达 25 年的关系摇摆不定之后，特朗普 2017 年的国家安全战略将俄罗斯列为美国主导秩序的主要挑战者之一。权力转移理论被用来解释冷战后美国前三任总统期间交替的合作和竞争阶段：第一，最初的合作尝试是由美国愿意将其前竞争对手融入自由秩序所驱动的；然后，随着华盛顿在莫斯科认为对其国家安全敏感的领土上的影响力上升，竞争就会倒退。