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The economic impacts of tropical cyclones on a mature destination, Florida, USA
Journal of Destination Marketing & Management ( IF 8.9 ) Pub Date : 2021-02-09 , DOI: 10.1016/j.jdmm.2021.100562
Christina Estela Brown , Sergio Alvarez , Naveen Eluru , Arthur Huang

Climatic hazards such as tropical cyclones pose multi-faceted threats to coastal tourism, inflicting physical damage to infrastructure, causing business interruption, and requiring the evacuation of tourists, not to mention the ensuing damage to the destination's image. Using the State of Florida, USA, as a case study, this research integrates GIS-based tropical cyclone wind swath data with industry-level monthly sales data in a cross-county panel to explore the differential impacts of these extreme weather events among inland and coastal destinations. This study uses secondary data collected by from the state of Florida and the US federal government to estimate revenue losses to 6 sectors in Florida's tourism economy due to tropical cyclones between 2008 and 2018. Based on the pooled sample of all counties, mean per county losses were estimated to be approximately $10 million during the month of the storm, $12 million in the first month post-storm, and $7 million in the second month post-storm. Coastal counties had mean estimated losses of approximately $12.5 million in the month of the storm and persistent effects for the following 2 months. Inland counties had estimated losses of approximately $7.5 million in the month of the storm and a positive recovery effect in the fourth ($1.6 million) and fifth ($2.7 million) months post-storm. These results suggest that Florida's coastal counties are most impacted by tropical cyclones in terms of tourism-related losses.



中文翻译:

热带气旋对美国佛罗里达州一个成熟目的地的经济影响

气候危害(例如热带气旋)对沿海旅游业构成多方面的威胁,对基础设施造成物理损害,造成业务中断,并要求撤离游客,更不用说对目的地形象造成的破坏。这项研究以美国佛罗里达州为例,在跨县面板中将基于GIS的热带气旋带数据与行业水平的月度销售数据进行了整合,以探讨这些极端天气事件对内陆和太平洋地区的不同影响。沿海目的地。这项研究使用了从佛罗里达州和美国联邦政府收集的二次数据,以估算2008年至2018年之间由于热带气旋造成的佛罗里达旅游经济中6个部门的收入损失。基于所有县的汇总样本,在飓风月份,每个县的平均损失估计约为1000万美元,在飓风之后的第一个月为1200万美元,在飓风之后的第二个月为700万美元。沿海县在风暴当月的平均估计损失约为1250万美元,并在随后的两个月内持续造成影响。内陆县估计在风暴月份损失约750万美元,并在风暴后的第四个月(160万美元)和第五个月(270万美元)产生了积极的恢复作用。这些结果表明,就旅游业相关的损失而言,佛罗里达沿海县受热带气旋影响最大。沿海县在风暴当月的平均估计损失约为1250万美元,并在随后的两个月内持续造成影响。内陆县估计在风暴月份损失约750万美元,并在风暴后的第四个月(160万美元)和第五个月(270万美元)产生了积极的恢复作用。这些结果表明,就旅游业相关的损失而言,佛罗里达沿海县受热带气旋影响最大。沿海县在风暴当月的平均估计损失约为1250万美元,并在随后的两个月内持续造成影响。内陆县估计在风暴月份损失约750万美元,并在风暴后第四个月(160万美元)和第五个月(270万美元)产生了积极的恢复作用。这些结果表明,就旅游业相关的损失而言,佛罗里达沿海县受热带气旋影响最大。

更新日期:2021-02-09
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