ABSTRACT

Given that principals stand at the precipice between policy, the student body, and the community, this article examines the relationship between demographic shocks and principal turnover. In observing more than seven thousand schools in Texas over a seventeen-year period, hazard model results demonstrate that short-term demographic changes are significantly associated with increased principal turnover risk, particularly for changes in the proportion of Students of Color. Results further imply that White and suburban principals were the most sensitive to these changes, suggesting the need for additional training and support to ensure stable leadership for schools undergoing shocks in student composition.

摘要

鉴于校长站在政策、学生团体和社区之间的悬崖上，本文研究了人口冲击与校长流失之间的关系。在对德克萨斯州 17 年期间的 7000 多所学校进行观察后，灾害模型结果表明短期人口变化与主要人员流失风险增加显着相关，尤其是有色人种学生比例的变化。结果进一步表明，白人和郊区校长对这些变化最敏感，这表明需要额外的培训和支持，以确保学校在学生构成方面受到冲击时保持稳定的领导。