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Socioeconomic Factors, Income Transfer Program, and the Presidential Election of 2014: Regional Voting Patterns in Brazil
Latin American Business Review Pub Date : 2019-08-12 , DOI: 10.1080/10978526.2019.1644181
Marcus Vinícius Amaral e Silva 1 , Admir Antônio Betarelli Júnior 2 , Fernando Salgueiro Perobelli 2
Affiliation  

Abstract An academic debate underway has sought to understand geographical polarization in the Brazilian presidential election. Recent studies have analyzed the additive effects on regional voting behavior from an economic, social, and institutional perspective, sometimes including the income transfer program Bolsa Família. However, these dimensions potentially form multiple distinct configurations that lead to a high or low voting result (percentage). The aim of this paper is to identify these logical combinations and analyze them to shed light on the regional patterns that are most consistent with the in the 2014 presidential election. The main findings suggest that the logical combination of a high percentage of Bolsa Família beneficiaries and a low degree of economic development or unfavorable domicile, urban, and social conditions covers 83% of the cases. This regional pattern of logic configurations was consistent with the pattern of voting based on political party.

中文翻译:

社会经济因素,收入转移计划和2014年总统选举:巴西的区域投票模式

摘要正在进行一场学术辩论,试图了解巴西总统选举中的地域两极分化。最近的研究从经济,社会和制度的角度分析了对区域投票行为的累加效应,有时包括收入转移计划。但是,这些维度可能会形成多个不同的配置,从而导致投票结果偏高或偏低(百分比)。本文的目的是确定这些逻辑组合并进行分析,以阐明与2014年总统大选最一致的区域格局。主要发现表明,高收益的家庭补助金和低水平的经济发展或不利的户籍,城市,社会条件占83%。这种逻辑配置的区域模式与基于政党的投票模式一致。
更新日期:2019-08-12
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