We study the electoral effects of the arrival of 1.3 million Venezuelan refugees in Colombia as a consequence of the Venezuelan humanitarian crisis. We exploit the fact that forced migrants disproportionately locate in places with earlier settlements of Venezuelans after the intensification of the crisis. We find that larger migration shocks increase voter’s turnout and shift votes from left-to right-wing political ideologies. These effects are predominantly driven by voter’s concerns on the economic effects of migrants as well as by a novel channel that we call strategic electoral misinformation, whereby political parties make the forced migration shock salient to voters in order to demonize the political agenda of competitors.

我们研究了委内瑞拉人道主义危机导致130万委内瑞拉难民到达哥伦比亚的选举影响。我们利用这样一个事实，在危机加剧之后，强迫移民不成比例地位于委内瑞拉人较早定居的地方。我们发现，更大的移民冲击增加了选民的投票率，并使选票从左翼政治思想转向右翼政治思想。这些影响主要是由于选民对移民的经济影响的关注，以及被我们称为战略选举错误信息的新颖渠道所致，在这种渠道中，政党使强迫迁徙冲击对选民十分重要，以妖魔竞争对手的政治议程。