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Possible impacts of COVID-19 outbreak on real estate sector and possible changes to adopt: A situation analysis and general assessment on Turkish perspective
Journal of Urban Management Pub Date : 2020-09-01 , DOI: 10.1016/j.jum.2020.08.005
Harun Tanrıvermiş

Abstract In this study, the possible effects and impacts of the COVID-19 outbreak on real estate development and management processes were examined by making an evaluation and an insight on administrative and media records. Crises and global effects of pandemics were described as an unforeseen event which have negatively affect project development in the real estate sector, sales operations of existing real estate, costs estimates, values and rates of return of existing real estate sector in general. The inception of new policy and precaution measures, especially travel bans and restrictions on domestic and foreign tourists impacts the tourism sector and causes its revenue to decrease, the narrowing of the volume of transactions in real estate such as retail facilities, office and residence transactions, increased vacancy rate in hotels, the additional measures taken due to the pandemic causes the significant increase in operating costs, decrease of rent collection creates losses due to declining in demand, net operating income and investment value also tends to decline. Change in business orientations, working and living conditions necessitates a review of planning, project development, marketing strategies, use and management processes of settlements. This study has It is observed that Turkish the government wants to revive the real estate markets only with the increase of sales of existing residences and businesses and tourism-oriented measures (such as a hygiene certificate), but it is clear that the measures taken for radical change in the long run are still inadequate. It should be emphasized that there is not yet enough work done to estimate how long the impact will continue and what is its financial burden will be in the years after March 2020, when the first case of the outbreak has been reported.

中文翻译:

COVID-19 爆发对房地产行业的可​​能影响以及可能采取的变化:土耳其视角的情况分析和总体评估

摘要 在这项研究中,通过对行政和媒体记录进行评估和洞察,研究了 COVID-19 爆发对房地产开发和管理过程的可能影响和影响。大流行的危机和全球影响被描述为不可预见的事件,对房地产行业的项目开发、现有房地产的销售业务、成本估算、现有房地产行业的总体价值和回报率产生负面影响。新政策和预防措施的出台,特别是旅行禁令和对国内外游客的限制,对旅游业造成影响并导致其收入减少,零售设施、办公和住宅交易等房地产交易量缩小,酒店空置率上升,由于疫情采取的额外措施导致运营成本大幅增加,租金减少造成需求下降造成损失,净营业收入和投资价值也趋于下降。商业方向、工作和生活条件的变化需要对定居点的规划、项目开发、营销策略、使用和管理流程进行审查。本研究观察到,土耳其政府只想通过增加现有住宅和企业的销售以及以旅游为导向的措施(如卫生证书)来重振房地产市场,但很明显,为从长远来看,彻底改变仍然是不够的。
更新日期:2020-09-01
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