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A colourful world of weather: representing local climatology in forecasts
Weather ( IF 2.3 ) Pub Date : 2021-02-05 , DOI: 10.1002/wea.3901
Michael Sharpe 1
Affiliation  

Weather is relative; a minimum temperature of +1°C at the Abbey Gardens in Tresco on Isles of Scilly is extreme, yet commonplace at most other sites during a UK winter. Categorising and displaying temperatures in terms of the local, site-specific and long-term observed climatology is ideally suited to the communication and analysis of both deterministic and probabilistic forecasts. Furthermore, these categories also make all-site, regional and site-specific forecast performance relatively straightforward to present.

中文翻译:

多彩的天气世界:在预报中代表当地气候

天气是相对的;锡利岛特雷斯科修道院花园的最低温度 +1°C 是极端的,但在英国冬季的大多数其他地点却很常见。根据当地、特定地点和长期观测的气候学对温度进行分类和显示,非常适合确定性和概率性预报的交流和分析。此外,这些类别还使所有站点、区域和特定站点的预测性能相对简单地呈现。
更新日期:2021-02-05
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