ABSTRACT

This study explores the short-term effects of COVID-19 on marriage and divorce rates in Korea. We document a 9.6–13.9% reduction in the provincial crude marriage rate in March-June 2020 after the surge in COVID-19 cases. On top of this overall decline, a one-unit increase in the number of confirmed cases per 1,000 people in a given province decreased the marriage rate by 3.8–6.2%. The crude divorce rate decreases by 3.2–7.1% after the surge of COVID-19. Our results imply that the decline in marriage rates due to COVID-19 can lead to a significant decrease in fertility rates in the near future.

中文翻译：

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COVID-19大流行期间的家庭形成和解散：韩国的证据

摘要

这项研究探讨了COVID-19对韩国婚姻和离婚率的短期影响。我们记录到，在COVID-19病例激增之后，2020年3月至6月，省级粗婚率下降了9.6-13.9％。在总体下降的基础上，给定省每千人确诊病例数增加一单位，婚姻率降低了3.8–6.2％。COVID-19激增后，粗离婚率下降了3.2–7.1％。我们的结果表明，由于COVID-19而导致的结婚率下降会在不久的将来导致生育率显着下降。