Verbal probability phrases are often used in science communication to express estimated risks in words instead of numbers. In this study we look at how laypeople and statisticians interpret Dutch probability phrases that are regularly used in news articles. We found that there is a large variability in interpretations, even if the phrases are given in a neutral context. Also, statisticians do not agree on the interpretation of the phrases. We conclude that science communicators should be careful in using verbal probability expressions.

中文翻译：

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荷兰新闻文章中使用的概率短语解释中的差异性–沟通错误的风险

言语概率短语通常在科学交流中用于表达估计的风险，而不是数字。在这项研究中，我们研究了外行人和统计学家如何解释新闻报道中经常使用的荷兰语概率短语。我们发现，即使短语是在中性的上下文中给出的，解释也存在很大的差异。同样，统计学家对短语的解释也不一致。我们得出结论，科学传播者在使用言语概率表达时应格外小心。