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Prediction and analysis of Slovakian timber trade on global market conditions
Serbian Journal of Management ( IF 0.8 ) Pub Date : 2017-01-01 , DOI: 10.5937/sjm12-11228
Milos Gejdos , Marek Potkány

In Slovakian forestry the main source of finance is the wood sale. The main aim of this paper is to evaluate the assortments supply structure (quality management), prices development for the coniferous sawlogs and to set the future prediction of this development in new global market conditions, which are affected mainly by the global climate changes. Price changes were analysed for the period of the years from 2000 to March 2016 for the spruce and fir sawlogs. Data about the volume supply of raw-wood assortments in Slovakia for years 2005-2014 were collected from “Green Reports” published by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development of the Slovak Republic. From the influence factors in the studied period, the biggest impact was assigned to the global economic crisis. The prediction captures the further decline of prices of raw-wood assortments. In the second half of the year 2016 the price of sawlogs decreased by € 4 per 1 m3. Local impacts, the structure of wood processors and specific trade area in Slovakia affected substantially the structure of assortments on Market. There is also some space for a better evaluation of harvested wood.

中文翻译:

斯洛伐克木材贸易对全球市场状况的预测和分析

在斯洛伐克林业,资金的主要来源是木材销售。本文的主要目的是评估针叶锯材的品种供应结构(质量管理)、价格发展,并在主要受全球气候变化影响的新全球市场条件下对该发展进行未来预测。分析了 2000 年至 2016 年 3 月期间云杉和冷杉原木的价格变化。2005-2014 年斯洛伐克原木品种供应量数据来自斯洛伐克共和国农业和农村发展部发布的“绿色报告”。从研究期间的影响因素来看,影响最大的是全球经济危机。该预测反映了原木品种价格的进一步下降。2016 年下半年,锯木的价格每 1 立方米下降了 4 欧元。当地影响、木材加工商的结构和斯洛伐克的特定贸易区对市场上的分类结构产生了重大影响。还有一些空间可以更好地评估收获的木材。
更新日期:2017-01-01
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