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Does sex composition of offspring relate to fertility in urban areas? The case of Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
Journal of Biosocial Science ( IF 1.5 ) Pub Date : 2021-02-02 , DOI: 10.1017/s0021932021000031
Moussa Bougma 1 , Vissého Adjiwanou 2, 3 , Jean-François Kobiané 1
Affiliation  

With the onset of the demographic transition in sub-Saharan Africa, couples’ desired number of children and the sex composition of offspring may become conflicted, with potential effects on future fertility. While intuitively expected, this effect has not been observed in studies in sub-Saharan Africa, where the level of fertility is higher than in other African regions. In this study, the hypothesis of a conflicted situation was examined by assessing the effect of sex composition of offspring on women’s intentions regarding additional children and their use of modern contraceptives. A mixed-method analysis was performed using quantitative data regarding 2567 women aged 35–49 years drawn from a 2012 Demtrend retrospective longitudinal population survey, supplemented by qualitative data collected through 23 in-depth interviews of men and women in Ouagadougou. Results showed that the absence of one sex (boy or girl) in the existing offspring was associated with additional demand for children and lower contraceptive use. These results suggest that a desire for a combination of both girls and boys may be the driving factor contributing to larger family size; that is, continued fertility may not be determined by son preference, but rather by overall composition of offspring, when existing children are all girls or all boys. This could explain the stalling of the fertility decline observed in recent years in Ouagadougou.

中文翻译:

后代的性别构成与城市地区的生育率有关吗?布基纳法索瓦加杜古案例

随着撒哈拉以南非洲人口结构转变的开始,夫妻想要的孩子数量和后代的性别构成可能会发生冲突,并可能对未来的生育能力产生影响。虽然直观地预期,但在撒哈拉以南非洲的研究中并未观察到这种影响,那里的生育水平高于其他非洲地区。在这项研究中,通过评估后代的性别构成对女性对额外孩子的意图和她们使用现代避孕药具的影响,对冲突情况的假设进行了检验。使用来自 2012 年 Demtrend 回顾性纵向人口调查的 2567 名 35-49 岁女性的定量数据进行了混合方法分析,辅以通过对瓦加杜古男性和女性的 23 次深度访谈收集的定性数据。结果表明,现有后代中缺乏一种性别(男孩或女孩)与对儿童的额外需求和较低的避孕药具使用率有关。这些结果表明,对男孩和女孩结合的渴望可能是导致家庭规模扩大的驱动因素;也就是说,继续生育可能不是由儿子的偏好决定的,而是由后代的整体构成决定的,此时现有的孩子都是女孩或男孩。这可以解释近年来在瓦加杜古观察到的生育率下降停滞不前。这些结果表明,对男孩和女孩结合的渴望可能是导致家庭规模扩大的驱动因素;也就是说,继续生育可能不是由儿子的偏好决定的,而是由后代的整体构成决定的,此时现有的孩子都是女孩或男孩。这可以解释近年来在瓦加杜古观察到的生育率下降停滞不前。这些结果表明,对男孩和女孩结合的渴望可能是导致家庭规模扩大的驱动因素;也就是说,继续生育可能不是由儿子的偏好决定的,而是由后代的整体构成决定的,此时现有的孩子都是女孩或男孩。这可以解释近年来在瓦加杜古观察到的生育率下降停滞不前。
更新日期:2021-02-02
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