ABSTRACT The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons requires nuclear-armed states that join the treaty while still possessing “nuclear weapons or other nuclear explosive devices” to “destroy them as soon as possible but not later than a deadline to be determined by the first meeting of States Parties.” This article examines technical issues that can inform this deadline decision. It outlines the processes and issues involved in the dismantlement and destruction of a nuclear weapon relevant to the purposes of meeting this treaty obligation. It uses publicly available information on the size and evolution of nuclear weapon stockpiles and declared and estimated rates of warhead dismantlement to assess the time it may take to dismantle and destroy current weapon stockpiles, including weapons already scheduled for dismantlement. It focuses on the United States and Russia which possess the largest arsenals, but includes discussions of other weapon states as well. The findings suggest that a TPNW deadline of 10 years for nuclear weapon destruction, with a possible 10 year extension.

中文翻译：

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制定《禁止核武器条约》规定的销毁核武器的期限

摘要《禁止核武器条约》要求加入该条约但仍拥有“核武器或其他核爆炸装置”的核武国家“尽快销毁它们，但不得迟于第一个决定的期限”缔约国会议。” 本文研究了可以帮助您做出最后期限决定的技术问题。它概述了与履行该条约义务有关的拆卸和销毁核武器所涉及的过程和问题。它使用可公开获得的有关核武器库存的大小和演变以及宣布的和估计的弹头拆卸速率的信息来评估拆卸和销毁当前武器库存（包括已经计划拆卸的武器）可能花费的时间。它着重于拥有最大军火库的美国和俄罗斯，但也包括其他武器国家的讨论。研究结果表明，TPNW销毁核武器的最后期限为10年，并可能延长10年。