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Spatially Continuous Land-Cover Reconstructions Through the Holocene in Southern Sweden
Ecosystems ( IF 3.4 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-28 , DOI: 10.1007/s10021-020-00594-5
Robert O’Dwyer , Laurent Marquer , Anna-Kari Trondman , Anna Maria Jönsson

Climate change and human activities influence the development of ecosystems, with human demand of ecosystem services altering both land use and land cover. Fossil pollen records provide time series of vegetation characteristics, and the aim of this study was to create spatially continuous reconstructions of land cover through the Holocene in southern Sweden. The Landscape Reconstruction Algorithm (LRA) was applied to obtain quantitative reconstructions of pollen-based vegetation cover at local scales, accounting for pollen production, dispersal, and deposition mechanisms. Pollen-based local vegetation estimates were produced from 41 fossil pollen records available for the region. A comparison of 17 interpolation methods was made and evaluated by comparing with current land cover. Simple kriging with cokriging using elevation was selected to interpolate the local characteristics of past land cover, to generate more detailed reconstructions of trends and degree of variability in time and space than previous studies based on pollen data representing the regional scale. Since the Mesolithic, two main processes have acted to reshape the land cover of southern Sweden, originally mostly covered by broad-leaved forests. The natural distribution limit of coniferous forest has moved southward during periods with colder climate and retracted northward during warmer periods, and human expansion in the area and agrotechnological developments has led to a gradually more open landscape, reaching maximum openness at the beginning of the 20th century. The recent intensification of agriculture has led to abandonment of less fertile agricultural fields and afforestation with conifer forest.



中文翻译:

瑞典南部全新世的空间连续土地覆盖重建

气候变化和人类活动影响着生态系统的发展,人类对生态系统服务的需求改变了土地利用和土地覆盖。化石花粉记录提供了植被特征的时间序列,本研究的目的是通过瑞典南部的全新世建立空间连续的土地覆被重建。应用景观重建算法(LRA)在局部范围内对基于花粉的植被覆盖物进行定量重建,以说明花粉的产生,扩散和沉积机理。基于该地区可用的41个化石花粉记录得出了基于花粉的当地植被估计值。对17种插值方法进行了比较,并与目前的土地覆盖率进行了比较。与以前的基于代表区域规模的花粉数据进行的研究相比,选择了使用高程的简单克里格法和使用海拔的共克里格法来内插过去的土地覆盖的局部特征,以生成更详细的时空变化趋势和程度的重构。自中石器时代以来,瑞典经历了两个主要过程,以重塑瑞典南部的土地覆被,这些土地最初大多被阔叶林覆盖。针叶林的自然分布极限在气候较冷的时期向南移动,在温暖的时期向北移动,该地区的人类扩张和农业技术发展导致景观逐渐开放,在20世纪初达到最大开放度。

更新日期:2021-01-28
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