The paper investigates the cost competitiveness of electric light commercial vehicles (eLCVs) with respect to their petrol and diesel counterparts. We develop a detailed total cost of ownership (TCO) model incorporating all relevant costs with special attention to account for variations in engine efficiency between urban and sub-urban trips and by seasons of the year. The model generates two metrics: the threshold purchase price and the threshold annual distance travelled, which are used to compare among propulsion systems and to perform policy scenarios. The model is applied to a large selection of LCVs models available in Europe as of June 2019. We find that eLCVs have on average a higher TCO/km than their conventional counterparts. Yet, the existing offer of eLCVs is differentiated and some eLCV models are cost competitive. We find that four eLCV models belonging to the city and panel segments are convenient relative to their diesel counterparts for daily distances travelled lower than 93 km. Nonetheless, with financial and regulatory incentives, 100% urban driving, and 100% home/depot charging, most of the existing city and panel eLCV models are cost competitive with respect to both their diesel and petrol counterparts.

本文研究了电动轻型商用车（eLCV）相对于其汽油和柴油同类产品的成本竞争力。我们开发了详细的总拥有成本（TCO）模型，其中包含所有相关成本，并特别注意考虑城市和郊区旅行之间以及一年中不同季节之间发动机效率的差异。该模型生成两个度量标准：阈值购买价格和阈值年度行进距离，用于比较推进系统之间的性能并执行策略方案。该模型已应用于截至2019年6月在欧洲上市的大量LCV车型。我们发现，eLCV的TCO / km平均要比传统同类产品更高。但是，现有eLCV的报价有所不同，某些eLCV模型具有成本竞争力。我们发现，对于每天行驶距离低于93公里的车辆，属于城市和面板细分市场的四种eLCV模型相对于其柴油同类产品更为方便。尽管如此，在财政和监管激励措施，100％的城市驾驶和100％的家庭/仓库收费的情况下，大多数现有的城市和面板式eLCV模型相对于柴油和汽油模型都具有成本竞争力。