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A computational modelling approach to human-elephant interactions in the Bunda District, Tanzania
Ecological Modelling ( IF 2.6 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-25 , DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2021.109449
Abel Ansporthy Mamboleo , Crile Doscher , Adrian Paterson

Agent-based and GIS-based models of human-elephant interactions were developed and integrated to evaluate and recommend the best management mitigation strategies to either reduce or eradicate the adverse impacts of human-elephant interactions in the Bunda District, Tanzania. The model estimated the appropriate minimum elephant and human populations, and geographical distances from the edges of protected areas, rivers and conservation corridors. The model results from each modelling scenario were analysed for comparative performance, where minimal recorded incidents of crop damage, human deaths, elephant deaths, and hidden impacts were the primary focus. Selection of the best performing scenario based on the magnitude of the reduction and eradication of adverse impact(s). However, for each selection of the best scenario(s), there were costs that a model user must incur, as there was no cost-free scenario. Reduction of any of the adverse impacts may run counter to fiscal, conservation, land and socioeconomic policies. Therefore, the model user may select the best scenario within the constraints of these policies. It is recommended that the adoption of the best scenario should not rely solely on the type of adverse impacts but also tolerance and resilience level of elephants and the well-being of the affected people. Therefore, the capabilities of people, elephants, and conservationists to accept, tolerate and, ultimately, to recover from a certain level o



中文翻译:

坦桑尼亚邦达区人与大象互动的计算建模方法

开发并集成了基于代理和基于GIS的人与大象互动模型,以评估和建议最佳管理缓解策略,以减少或消除坦桑尼亚班达地区人与大象互动的不利影响。该模型估计了适当的最小大象和人口,以及距保护区,河流和保护走廊边缘的地理距离。分析了每种建模方案的模型结果以进行比较,其中以记录在案的农作物损害,人类死亡,大象死亡和隐藏影响的事件最少为主要重点。根据减少和消除不利影响的程度来选择效果最好的方案。但是,对于最佳方案的每次选择,模型用户必须承担一定的成本,因为没有免费的方案。减少任何不利影响可能与财政,保护,土地和社会经济政策背道而驰。因此,模型用户可以在这些策略的约束范围内选择最佳方案。建议采用最佳方案时,不应仅取决于不利影响的类型,还应取决于大象的容忍度和抵御能力水平以及受影响人群的福祉。因此,人,大象和保护主义者接受,忍受并最终从一定水平恢复的能力 模型用户可以在这些策略的约束范围内选择最佳方案。建议采用最佳方案时,不应仅取决于不利影响的类型,还应取决于大象的容忍度和抵御能力水平以及受影响人群的福祉。因此,人,大象和保护主义者接受,忍受并最终从一定水平恢复的能力 模型用户可以在这些策略的约束范围内选择最佳方案。建议采用最佳方案时,不应仅取决于不利影响的类型,还应取决于大象的宽容和抵御能力以及受影响人群的福祉。因此,人,大象和保护主义者接受,忍受并最终从一定水平恢复的能力

更新日期:2021-01-28
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