Abstract

This article reports the results of a comparative analysis of biodiesel production from two major summer oilseed crops, accounting the economic risk of production. The objective is to provide the necessary knowledge for the feasible adaptation of oilseed crops for on-farm production of biodiesel. Investment in small-scale biodiesel processing units for on-farm production was investigated at three different stages, namely the production of oilseed, processing of oil and processing of biodiesel. The annualized net revenue from the biodiesel production was calculated considering a 15-year time period. The results show the potential for a positive return from biodiesel production; however, there is a potential for negative return under low-yield scenarios. According to Monte Carlo simulation, the profit range generated across random samples for biodiesel production from both oilseed crops yields a positive net return. The probability of a negative return on biodiesel production from sunflower was lower than that from soybean.

摘要

本文报告了两种主要夏季油料作物的生物柴油生产的比较分析结果，说明了生产的经济风险。目的是提供必要的知识，以使油料作物可行地适合农场生产生物柴油。在三个不同阶段对用于农场生产的小型生物柴油加工装置的投资进行了研究，即油籽的生产，油的加工和生物柴油的加工。考虑到15年的时间段，计算了生物柴油生产的年化净收入。结果表明，生物柴油生产具有积极回报的潜力；但是，在低收益情况下可能会产生负回报。根据蒙特卡洛模拟，从这两种油料作物生产生物柴油的随机样本中产生的利润范围可产生正的净收益。葵花籽对生物柴油生产产生负回报的可能性低于大豆。