ABSTRACT

This literature review aims to identify situations of uncertainty from differing perspectives of transport planning research. It elaborates a heuristic framework based on three potential sources of uncertainty: reality, knowledge, and products. The heuristic approach focuses on the way in which uncertainties are first identified as part of the planning context and process, then translated into planning artifacts and concepts, and finally managed in the selection of planning options and effects. We illustrate how this framework can provide a useful tool for theoretical and empirical research in transport planning.

中文翻译：

---

探索规划中不确定性的启发式方法

摘要

这篇文献综述旨在从运输规划研究的不同角度识别不确定性情况。它基于三个潜在的不确定性来源（现实，知识和产品），阐述了一种启发式框架。启发式方法侧重于以下方法：首先将不确定性识别为计划上下文和流程的一部分，然后将其转换为计划工件和概念，最后在选择计划选项和效果时进行管理。我们说明了该框架如何为运输规划中的理论和实证研究提供有用的工具。