In this article, we examine how early risk behaviours are related to subsequent negative life events among young men and women from different socioeconomic backgrounds in Denmark. We draw on data from a survey on 15-year-olds’ drinking, smoking, cannabis use and early sexual debut and administrative register data about negative life events such as not being in education, employment or training (NEET), crime convictions and hospitalisations between ages 16 and 24. We use latent class analysis to divide young people into different risk groups, and individual growth curve models in an intersectional analysis of their transitions into adulthood. We show that for young people from upper middle class families, early risk behaviours are not associated with subsequent negative life events. However, for young people from less privileged backgrounds, early experimentation with alcohol, cigarettes, cannabis and sex is a clear predictor of negative events later in life. The association between early risk behaviours and subsequent negative life events is stronger for young men than for young women.

在本文中，我们研究了丹麦不同社会经济背景的年轻男性和女性的早期风险行为与随后的负面生活事件之间的关系。我们从15岁以下人群的饮酒，吸烟，大麻使用和性行为初期调查的数据中汲取数据，以及有关不良生活事件（如未受教育，就业或培训（NEET），犯罪定罪和住院治疗）的行政登记数据在16岁至24岁之间。我们使用潜在类别分析将年轻人划分为不同的风险组，并使用个人成长曲线模型对他们过渡到成年的过程进行交叉分析。我们表明，对于来自上层中产阶级家庭的年轻人而言，早期风险行为与随后的负面生活事件无关。但是，对于特权背景较弱的年轻人，酒精，香烟，大麻和性行为的早期试验可以清楚地预示人生后期的负面事件。年轻男性的早期风险行为与随后的负面生活事件之间的关联性强于年轻女性。