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Examining the effects of digital technology expansion on Unemployment: A cross-sectional investigation
Technology in Society ( IF 10.1 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-22 , DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2020.101495
Hamed Mirzaei Abbasabadi , Mohammad Soleimani

One of the fast-growing fields of technology expansion is communication technologies. The attention is often focused on the social and cultural effects of these expansions; however, the economic implications of the fast-growing digital technologies can be substantial. This paper is an empirical investigation to find a relationship between digital technology expansion and ICT developments on one major economic issue: unemployment. In this way, three indexes of technology (ICT Development Index, The Digital Index, and Technological Readiness) were chosen according to their focus on digital and ICT indicators, and also their sufficient number of observations to provide a global view. The data consists of 163 countries and is structured in a cross-sectional form including observations of the year 2016. Then, the data were subject to an empirical investigation following OLS and GLS estimation methods, along with stability tests. The results show a significant polynomial degree 2 relationship between unemployment and digital technology indexes. The empirical methodology indicates that the relationship is positive in degree 1 and negative in degree 2 coefficients, so it can be concluded that: as digital technologies are expanding, unemployment grows to a maximum and then begins to decline as technology expansion exceeds a specific value.



中文翻译:

研究数字技术扩展对失业的影响:横断面调查

通信技术是快速发展的技术扩展领域之一。人们通常将注意力集中在这些扩张的社会和文化影响上。但是,快速发展的数字技术对经济的影响可能很大。本文是一项实证研究,目的是在一个主要的经济问题上找到数字技术扩展与ICT发展之间的关系:失业。通过这种方式,根据对数字和ICT指标的关注程度以及足够的观测数量以提供全球视野,选择了三个技术指标(ICT发展指数,数字索引和技术就绪程度)。数据包含163个国家/地区,并以包括2016年观察值在内的横截面形式构成。然后,根据OLS和GLS估算方法以及稳定性测试对数据进行了实证研究。结果表明,失业与数字技术指标之间存在显着的多项式2级关系。实证方法表明该关系在1级系数中为正,在2级系数中为负,因此可以得出以下结论:随着数字技术的发展,失业人数增长到最大,然后随着技术发展超过特定值而开始下降。

更新日期:2021-01-22
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