Data from 25 large U.S. cities is assembled to estimate the impact of the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic on crime. There is a widespread immediate drop in both criminal incidents and arrests most heavily pronounced among drug crimes, theft, residential burglaries, and most violent crimes. The decline appears to precede stay-at-home orders, and arrests follow a similar pattern as reports. There is no decline in homicides and shootings, and an increase in non-residential burglary and car theft in most cities, suggesting that criminal activity was displaced to locations with fewer people. Pittsburgh, New York City, San Francisco, Philadelphia, Washington DC and Chicago each saw overall crime drops of at least 35%. Evidence from police-initiated reports and geographic variation in crime change suggests that most of the observed changes are not due to changes in crime reporting.

收集了来自美国25个大城市的数据，以估算COVID-19大流行对犯罪的影响。在毒品犯罪，盗窃，住宅入室盗窃和最暴力犯罪中，犯罪事件和逮捕事件都普遍立即减少。下降似乎是在居家定单之前，逮捕与报告类似。在大多数城市，凶杀和枪击事件没有减少，非住宅盗窃和偷车事件有所增加，这表明犯罪活动被转移到人口较少的地方。匹兹堡，纽约市，旧金山，费城，华盛顿特区和芝加哥的犯罪率总体下降了至少35％。