The aim of this study is to develop a simulation model which is capable of mimicking actual vessel arrival patterns and vessel entrance decisions (which are made based on expert opinions generally) on congested, narrow waterways. The model is tested on the transit traffic pattern in the Strait of Istanbul. Based on a heuristic scheduling algorithm, this model decides entrance times and vessel types on the strait. The model, with different policies for day and night traffic, is run for a period of seven years with 20 replications for each year. The performance measures of the model are: average interarrival times, number of vessels passed and entrance times for each successive vessel pair in both traffic directions. The model results are congruent with the actual results of performance measures. Therefore, it may be deduced that the proposed algorithm can be a guide for operators regarding scheduling decisions in congested, narrow waterways.

中文翻译：

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拥挤水道中海上交通的调度和模拟：在伊斯坦布尔海峡的应用

本研究的目的是开发一个模拟模型，该模型能够模拟拥挤、狭窄水道上的实际船舶到达模式和船舶进入决策（通常基于专家意见做出）。该模型在伊斯坦布尔海峡的过境交通模式上进行了测试。该模型基于启发式调度算法，决定海峡的进入时间和船只类型。该模型采用不同的昼夜流量策略，运行时间为 7 年，每年重复 20 次。该模型的性能指标是：平均到达间隔时间、通过的船只数量和每个连续船只对在两个交通方向上的进入时间。模型结果与绩效测量的实际结果一致。所以，