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Spatio-temporal analysis of Egyptian flower mantis Blepharopsis mendica (order: mantodea), with notes of its future status under climate change
Saudi Journal of Biological Sciences ( IF 4.4 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-20 , DOI: 10.1016/j.sjbs.2021.01.027
Mohamed Nasser , Mohammed Okely , Omaima Nasif , Sulaiman Alharbi , Sohair GadAllah , Sami Al-Obaid , Rabia Enan , Madhu Bala , Sara Al-Ashaal

Egyptian flower mantis Blepharopsis mendica (Order: Mantodea) is a widespread mantis species throughout the southwest Palearctic region. The ecological and geographical distribution of such interesting species is rarely known. So, through this work, habitat suitability models for its distribution through Egyptian territory were created using MaxEnt software from 90 occurrence records. One topographic (altitude) and eleven bioclimatic variables influencing the species distribution were selected to generate the models. The predicted distribution in Egypt was focused on the Delta, South Sinai, the north-eastern part of the country, and some areas in the west including Siwa Oasis. Temporal analysis between the two periods (1900–1961) and (1961–2017) show current reduction of this species distribution through Delta and its surrounding areas, may be due to urbanization. On the other hand, it increases in newly protected areas of South Sinai. Under the future climate change scenario, the MaxEnt model predicted the habitat gains for B. mendica in RCP 2.6 for 2070 and loss of habitat in RCP 8.5 for the same year. Our results can be used as a basis for conserving this species not only in Egypt, but also throughout the whole of its range, also, it show how the using of geo-information could help in studying animal ecology.



中文翻译:

埃及花螳螂Blepharopsis mendica(顺序:mantodea)的时空分析,并指出其在气候变化下的未来状态  

埃及花螳螂Blepharopsis mendica(螳螂)(Mantodea)是整个西南太平洋地区广泛分布的螳螂种。这种有趣物种的生态和地理分布鲜为人知。因此,通过这项工作,使用MaxEnt软件从90个发生记录中创建了在埃及领土上分布的栖息地适宜性模型。选择一个影响物种分布的地形(海拔)和11个生物气候变量来生成模型。埃及的预计分布集中在三角洲,南西奈,该国东北部以及西部的一些地区,包括西瓦绿洲。这两个时期(1900-1961年)和(1961-2017年)之间的时间分析表明,目前该物种在三角洲及其周围地区的分布减少,可能是由于城市化所致。另一方面,它在南西奈半岛的新保护区有所增加。在未来的气候变化情景下,MaxEnt模型预测了BRC 2.6中的B. mendica在2070年,RCP 8.5中的生境在同一年丧失。我们的研究结果不仅可以作为埃及保护该物种的基础,而且可以作为整个物种保护范围的基础,也表明利用地理信息可以帮助研究动物生态学。

更新日期:2021-01-20
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