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Spatio-temporal analysis of Egyptian flower mantis Blepharopsis mendica (order: mantodea), with notes of its future status under climate change
Saudi Journal of Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-20 , DOI: 10.1016/j.sjbs.2021.01.027
Mohamed Nasser 1 , Mohammed Okely 1 , Omaima Nasif 2 , Sulaiman Alharbi 3 , Sohair GadAllah 1 , Sami Al-Obaid 3 , Rabia Enan 1 , Madhu Bala 4 , Sara Al-Ashaal 1
Affiliation  

Egyptian flower mantis Blepharopsis mendica (Order: Mantodea) is a widespread mantis species throughout the southwest Palearctic region. The ecological and geographical distribution of such interesting species is rarely known. So, through this work, habitat suitability models for its distribution through Egyptian territory were created using MaxEnt software from 90 occurrence records. One topographic (altitude) and eleven bioclimatic variables influencing the species distribution were selected to generate the models. The predicted distribution in Egypt was focused on the Delta, South Sinai, the north-eastern part of the country, and some areas in the west including Siwa Oasis. Temporal analysis between the two periods (1900–1961) and (1961–2017) show current reduction of this species distribution through Delta and its surrounding areas, may be due to urbanization. On the other hand, it increases in newly protected areas of South Sinai. Under the future climate change scenario, the MaxEnt model predicted the habitat gains for B. mendica in RCP 2.6 for 2070 and loss of habitat in RCP 8.5 for the same year. Our results can be used as a basis for conserving this species not only in Egypt, but also throughout the whole of its range, also, it show how the using of geo-information could help in studying animal ecology.



中文翻译:


埃及花螳螂 Blepharopsis mendica(目:mantodea)的时空分析,及其在气候变化下的未来状况



埃及花螳螂Blepharopsis mendica (目:Mantodea)是古北界西南部地区广泛分布的螳螂物种。这些有趣物种的生态和地理分布很少为人所知。因此,通过这项工作,使用 MaxEnt 软件根据 90 个事件记录创建了其在埃及境内分布的栖息地适宜性模型。选择影响物种分布的一种地形(海拔)和十一种生物气候变量来生成模型。埃及的预测分布主要集中在三角洲、南西奈半岛、该国东北部以及西部的一些地区,包括锡瓦绿洲。两个时期(1900-1961)和(1961-2017)之间的时间分析表明,目前该物种在三角洲及其周边地区的分布减少,可能是由于城市化。另一方面,它在南西奈半岛的新保护区有所增加。在未来气候变化情景下,MaxEnt模型预测了2070年门迪卡菌栖息地的增加(RCP 2.6)和同年栖息地的丧失(RCP 8.5)。我们的结果不仅可以作为在埃及保护该物种的基础,而且可以作为在其整个范围内保护该物种的基础,而且它还表明了地理信息的使用如何有助于研究动物生态学。

更新日期:2021-01-20
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