Abstract

The present study examines to what extent employees in Germany are afraid of losing their jobs, depending on the degree of computerization of their occupations. So far, empirical evidence on the relationship between digital transformation and subjective job insecurity is scarce. We distinguish three interrelated insecurity measures: cognitive job insecurity, i.e. the individual assessment of job loss probability, labour market insecurity, i.e. the perceived availability of job alternatives, and affective job insecurity, i.e. the extent to which individuals are worried about a potential job loss. The analysis is based on a large-scale panel study from Germany and refers to the period between 2013 and 2016. Computerization is measured by the occupation-specific substitution potential, i.e. the extent to which occupational tasks are substitutable by computers or computer-controlled machines. The results from multivariate panel analysis suggest that the digital transformation has a negative impact on cognitive job insecurity. We do not find effects on labour market insecurity and affective job insecurity.

中文翻译：

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德国的数字化转型和主观工作不安全感

摘要

本研究调查了德国员工在多大程度上害怕失去工作，这取决于他们职业的计算机化程度。到目前为止，关于数字化转型与主观工作不安全感之间关系的经验证据很少。我们区分了三种相互关联的不安全措施：认知工作不安全感，即对失业概率的个人评估，劳动力市场不安全感，即对工作替代的感知可用性，以及情感工作不安全感，即个人对潜在失业的担忧程度. 该分析基于来自德国的大规模小组研究，参考了 2013 年至 2016 年之间的时期。计算机化是通过特定职业的替代潜力来衡量的，即 计算机或计算机控制的机器可替代职业任务的程度。多变量面板分析的结果表明，数字化转型对认知工作不安全感有负面影响。我们没有发现对劳动力市场不安全感和情感工作不安全感的影响。